{"id":25338,"date":"2022-07-25T00:00:46","date_gmt":"2022-07-24T15:00:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/?p=25338"},"modified":"2022-07-26T14:06:56","modified_gmt":"2022-07-26T05:06:56","slug":"%e3%82%a4%e3%83%b3%e3%83%95%e3%83%ac%e3%81%8c%e5%bc%b7%e7%83%88%e3%81%ab%e9%80%b2%e8%a1%8c%e3%81%97%e3%81%a6%e3%82%82frb%e3%81%8c%e9%9d%92%e5%a4%a9%e4%ba%95%e3%81%a7%e5%88%a9%e4%b8%8a%e3%81%92","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/post-25338","title":{"rendered":"\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u5f37\u70c8\u306b\u9032\u884c\u3057\u3066\u3082FRB\u304c\u9752\u5929\u4e95\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u8907\u96d1\u4e8b\u60c5\u3068\u306f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u3054\u6848\u5185\u306e\u3068\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u90317\u670828\u65e5\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593\u5348\u524d3\u6642\u306b7\u6708FOMC\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u767a\u8868\u304c\u884c\u308f\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\nCME\u30b0\u30eb\u30fc\u30d7\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u4e88\u6e2c\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8\u3067\u3042\u308bFedWatch\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u78ba\u7387\u306f75\u30d9\u30fc\u30b7\u30b9\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3067\u4e00\u6642100\u30d9\u30fc\u30b7\u30b9\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3082\u3042\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u3068\u3055\u308c\u305f\u4e8b\u524d\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f19.5\uff05\u306b\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u4eca\u56de\u5168\u304f\u3042\u308a\u3048\u306a\u3044\u3068\u307e\u3067\u306f\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u3055\u3059\u304c\u306b\u305d\u3053\u307e\u3067\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u306b\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u884c\u308f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u898b\u7acb\u3066\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_25339\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-25339\" style=\"width: 851px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-25339 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/FED-WATCH-as-of-07-2022.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"851\" height=\"586\" srcset=\"https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/FED-WATCH-as-of-07-2022.jpg 851w, https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/FED-WATCH-as-of-07-2022-300x207.jpg 300w, https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/FED-WATCH-as-of-07-2022-768x529.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 851px) 100vw, 851px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-25339\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Data CME<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u305f\u3060\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u5e74\u672b12\u6708\u306eFOMC\u3067\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4e00\u756a\u9ad8\u304f\u3066\u30824.25\uff05\u304c\u6700\u5927\u3067\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u9ad8\u3044\u78ba\u7387\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304c3.25\u304b\u30893.5\uff05\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3067\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u9032\u3093\u3067\u3082FRB\u306f\u6025\u6fc0\u306a\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u884c\u308f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u898b\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_25340\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-25340\" style=\"width: 857px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-25340 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/FED-WATCH-as-of-12-2022-expectation.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"857\" height=\"590\" srcset=\"https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/FED-WATCH-as-of-12-2022-expectation.jpg 857w, https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/FED-WATCH-as-of-12-2022-expectation-300x207.jpg 300w, https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/FED-WATCH-as-of-12-2022-expectation-768x529.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 857px) 100vw, 857px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-25340\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Data CME<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u306aCPI\u306f\u516c\u8868\u6570\u5b57\u3088\u308a\u9065\u304b\u306b\u9ad8\u3044<\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-25341\" src=\"https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/Consumer-inflation.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"458\" height=\"380\" srcset=\"https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/Consumer-inflation.jpg 428w, https:\/\/taritali.com\/ja\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2022\/07\/Consumer-inflation-300x249.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 458px) 100vw, 458px\" \/><br \/>\nShadow Stats.com\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8\u304c\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u8208\u5473\u6df1\u3044\u6570\u5b57\u3092\u63d0\u793a\u3057\u3066\u304f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n1980\u5e74\u4ee3FRB\u304c\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7b97\u5b9a\u306b\u3064\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u57fa\u790e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u4eca\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u306b\u3042\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u30686\u6708\u306eCPI\u304c9.1\uff05\u306840\u5e74\u3076\u308a\u306b\u9ad8\u3044\u6570\u5024\u3092\u53e9\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u8a71\u984c\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u306f\u3059\u3067\u306b16\uff05\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u9665\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001FRB\u306f\u6307\u6a19\u4f5c\u6210\u306e\u57fa\u790e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5909\u66f4\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306a\u3093\u3068\u304b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u9032\u884c\u3057\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306b\u632f\u821e\u3063\u3066\u304d\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u6539\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3059\u3067\u306b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u53ce\u307e\u3089\u306a\u3044\u6bb5\u968e\u306b\u7a81\u5165\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u6539\u5b9a\u306a\u306e\u304b\u6539\u3056\u3093\u306a\u306e\u304b\u5206\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u72b6\u6cc1\u306f\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u3082\u4f3c\u305f\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081FRB \u3060\u3051\u304c\u7570\u4f8b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u3055\u3059\u304c\u306b\u3054\u307e\u304b\u3057\u304d\u308c\u306a\u3044\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u306b\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u6b63\u76f4\u306a\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3060\u3068\u601d\u308f\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u305d\u308c\u3067\u3082\u9752\u5929\u4e95\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u306e\u306f\u83ab\u5927\u306a\u9023\u90a6\u50b5\u52d9\u3092\u62b1\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3089<\/h2>\n<p>\u3061\u3087\u3046\u3069\u4e0a\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u304c\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f1980\u5e74\u4ee3\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u306f\u3001\u30ec\u30fc\u30ac\u30f3\u653f\u6a29\u3067\u53cc\u5b50\u306e\u50b5\u52d9\u304c\u304b\u306a\u308a\u8a71\u984c\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<br \/>\n\u5f53\u6642\u306e\u9023\u90a6\u50b5\u52d9\u306f\u65e5\u672c\u5186\u306b\u3057\u3066100\u5146\u5186\u3067\u3082\u5927\u9a12\u304e\u3067\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u306e\u30d0\u30a4\u30c7\u30f3\u653f\u6a29\u3067\u306f\u65e5\u672c\u5186\u306b\u3057\u30665000\u5146\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u8ca0\u50b5\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u3082\u3061\u308d\u3093\u5186\u5b89\u304c\u9032\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u65e5\u672c\u5186\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u3067\u306f\u304b\u306a\u308a\u5927\u304d\u306a\u3082\u306e\u306b\u898b\u3048\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3053\u305d\u7269\u4fa1\u6c34\u6e96\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5909\u5316\u3057\u305f\u3068\u306f\u3044\u3048\u5b9f\u306b50\u500d\u3082\u306e\u898f\u6a21\u306e\u50b5\u52d9\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3057\u304b\u3082\u305d\u306e\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u304c\u6709\u5229\u5b50\u8ca0\u50b5\u306a\u306e\u3067\u56fd\u306e\u8ca1\u653f\u3092\u5b88\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u3067\u3082FRB\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u91d1\u5229\u30924\uff05\u30605\uff05\u3060\u3068\u3069\u3093\u3069\u3093\u4e0a\u3052\u3066\u3044\u304f\u308f\u3051\u306b\u306f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u3044\u6df1\u523b\u306a\u4e8b\u60c5\u3092\u62b1\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u898b\u3048\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u306f\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u65e5\u9280\u3082\u540c\u69d8\u306e\u554f\u984c\u3092\u62b1\u3048\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u5834\u5408\u305d\u306e\u50b5\u52d9\u30dc\u30ea\u30e5\u30fc\u30e0\u304c\u5404\u6bb5\u306b\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3082\u9752\u5929\u4e95\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u884c\u3048\u306a\u3044\u5927\u304d\u306a\u969c\u5bb3\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>FRB\u306f\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u5bfe\u7b56\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3068QT\u958b\u59cb\u306e\u5f71\u3067\u5b9f\u306fQE\u3092\u5bc6\u304b\u306b\u5b9f\u65bd\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/h2>\n<p>\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306f\u7c73\u682a\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u6050\u308c\u3066\u3044\u305f\u307b\u3069\u4e0a\u304c\u3089\u305a\u3001\u3055\u3089\u306b\u5024\u3092\u623b\u3059\u3068\u3044\u3046\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u4e00\u90e8\u3067\u306f\u3059\u3067\u306b\u5e95\u3092\u6253\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u697d\u89b3\u8ad6\u3082\u3067\u306f\u3058\u3081\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u306f\u3053\u3053\u306b\u3082FRB\u306e\u96a0\u308c\u30aa\u30da\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u767b\u5834\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u306f\u30ea\u30d0\u30fc\u30b9\u30ec\u30dd\u3068\u547c\u3070\u308c\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3001QT\u306f\u958b\u59cb\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306e6\u6708\u5f8c\u534a\u304b\u3089\u307b\u307c\u6bce\u65e525\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u5186\u306b\u3057\u30663\u51464000\u5104\u5186\u5f37\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u304c\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u95a2\u306b\u3053\u3063\u305d\u308a\u4f9b\u7d66\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u682a\u4fa1\u652f\u3048\u306e\u5927\u304d\u306a\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img 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